Ridings to Watch: Saint John–Rothesay and Fundy Royal NB

Ridings to Watch: Saint John–Rothesay and Fundy Royal NB


WATCH ABOVE: CPAC’s Bill Kendrick visits southern New Brunswick, where the Conservatives look to retake two Liberal seats

Fundy Royal, a riding that has always voted Conservative except for two occasions (1993 and 2015), is currently held by Liberal candidate Alaina Lockhart. Her principal adversary is Rob Moore, who held the seat for the Conservatives from 2004 to 2015. Tim Thompson is the Green candidate here and James Tolan is the New Democrat.

Next to Fundy Royal is Saint John–Rothesay, where voters will see a rematch between Liberal candidate Wayne Long and Conservative candidate Rodney Weston. Weston held the seat for two terms before Long rode the Trudeau wave to victory in 2015. Armand Cormier is the New Democrat and Ann McAllister is the Green party candidate.

 
SAINT JOHN–ROTHESAY IN 2015:

Wayne Long (Liberal) won with 48.8% support — and a 18.3% margin of victory (7,719 votes) over Conservative runner-up Rodney Weston.

Saint John–Rothesay was the 201st closest race out of all 338 ridings.

Voter turnout was 68.8%.

SAINT JOHN–ROTHESAY IN NUMBERS (CENSUS 2016):

SIZE: 391.0 km2

POPULATION: 79,363 people in 2016: a change of -3.3% from 2011. The average age is 42.8, with 15.2% age 14 and under and 19% 65 and older.

96.1% are Canadian citizens. 6.3% are immigrants. 2% indicated Aboriginal identity. 6.5% are visible minorities. 7.5% are 1st generation Canadians. 7% are 2nd generation. 85.4% are 3rd generation and older.

HOUSING: The average home value in 2016 was $197,604. Renters paid an average of $735 per month, with 14.9% in subsidized housing. 46.2% of dwellings are single-detached houses; 4.6% are condos. 3.5% of all homes were built between 2011 and 2016.

INCOME: Median total income in 2015 was $31,517. 20.6% of people were classified as low-income (after tax) — 30.2% of children and 16.7% of seniors.

IDENTITY: Top reported ethnic origins are Canadian: 34640 / English: 24245 / Irish: 23845 / Scottish: 18985 / French: 16210

IMMIGRATION: United Kingdom, China, United States, Syria, South Korea are the top birth origins for immigrants. China is the top origin for recent immigrants (2011 to 2016).

LANGUAGE: Mandarin, Arabic, Spanish, Korean, and German are the most common non-official languages. Official Mother Tongues: 89.81% English and 4.33% French.

EDUCATION: 18.3% have no degree, diploma, or certificate. 18.8% have a university bachelor’s degree or above.


 
FUNDY ROYAL IN 2015:

Alaina Lockhart (Liberal) won with 40.9% support — and a 3.8% margin of victory (1,775 votes) over Conservative runner-up Rob Moore.

Fundy Royal was the 53rd closest race out of all 338 ridings.

Voter turnout was 74.6%.

FUNDY ROYAL IN NUMBERS (CENSUS 2016):

SIZE: 391.0 km2

POPULATION: 79,363 people in 2016: a change of -3.3% from 2011. The average age is 42.8, with 15.2% age 14 and under and 19% 65 and older.

96.1% are Canadian citizens. 6.3% are immigrants. 2% indicated Aboriginal identity. 6.5% are visible minorities. 7.5% are 1st generation Canadians. 7% are 2nd generation. 85.4% are 3rd generation and older.

HOUSING: The average home value in 2016 was $197,604. Renters paid an average of $735 per month, with 14.9% in subsidized housing. 46.2% of dwellings are single-detached houses; 4.6% are condos. 3.5% of all homes were built between 2011 and 2016.

INCOME: Median total income in 2015 was $31,517. 20.6% of people were classified as low-income (after tax) — 30.2% of children and 16.7% of seniors.

IDENTITY: Top reported ethnic origins are Canadian: 34640 / English: 24245 / Irish: 23845 / Scottish: 18985 / French: 16210

IMMIGRATION: United Kingdom, China, United States, Syria, South Korea are the top birth origins for immigrants. China is the top origin for recent immigrants (2011 to 2016).

LANGUAGE: Mandarin, Arabic, Spanish, Korean, and German are the most common non-official languages. Official Mother Tongues: 89.81% English and 4.33% French.

EDUCATION: 18.3% have no degree, diploma, or certificate. 18.8% have a university bachelor’s degree or above.

-Compiled by Andrew Thomson